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Picks and Parlays hits the gridiron hard and provides college football picks and predictions for every game on the card each week. Our talented team gives you expert picks on NCAA Football from opening night in August through the bowl season and CFP National Championship game in January. Our CFB picks are the best around, because we have the best analysis and latest relevant team info for every game.
CFP National Championship - Ohio State Buckeyes vs Alabama Crimson Tide - Monday 1/11/21 - College Football Picks & Predictions.
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Ohio State vs Alabama 1/11/21 - College Football Picks & Predictions.
The CFP National Championship presented by AT&T will take place on Monday night, when the Ohio State Buckeyes battle the Alabama Crimson Tide from Hard Rock Stadium.
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Welcome to our page on college football computer predictions. This projection system was designed to use past data to predict college football games in the future. The predictions that you will see here now account for weather and injuries. There is always some element of error in the predictions. I encourage you to read my disclaimer page for more information.
One can also refer to our FBS ratings which are updated every Sunday morning, except on weeks where games run through Sunday or Monday.
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College football picks, odds for ACC in Week 5: Rest or rust for North Carolina after two-week layoff?
Against the spread picks and best bets for all the ACC games in Week 5.
Now that everyone in the ACC has finally played a conference game, I feel like we can makes some knee-jerk reactions to what we've seen. Miami may, in fact, be back (at least to contending for a conference championship), Notre Dame has the pieces to win the ACC in its one year of full membership and the rebuilding effort ahead for Mike Norvell at Florida State is much longer and tougher than maybe even he imagined at the start of the season.
As we enter Week 5, it's important to note that not all records are the alike. While Miami and Pitt both appear to be league title contenders, the proximity of Boston College to Clemson and Notre Dame in the standings is likely going to be short-lived. The same could be said for Louisville who, while 0-2 in league play, is near the bottom of the conference with Florida State and Wake Forest but appears to have the weapons, at least offensively, to climb out of the cellar with some wins in the near future.
Duke, the only team in the ACC at 0-3 overall with all three losses coming in league play, does have plenty of issues to address before the season gets out of hand.
The point is we have some perception alignment issues from small sample sizes that can create advantages in the point spread. The market tends to overreact to the significance of these individual results when we don't have enough data points to form the full picture of a team, and that is an opportunity for us.
So with all that mind, let's take a look at the Week 5 lines in the ACC hoping to get you set with winners for the weekend, with odds provided via William Hill Sportsbook.
Note: Lines involving FCS opponents aren't set until later in the week, so there will be no picks for Campbell at Wake Forest on Friday and Jacksonville State at Florida State on Saturday.
ACC Week 5 odds, picks.
No. 12 North Carolina (-13.5) at Boston College: Most players and coaches would much prefer to be playing and not experience the kind of start-and-stop that North Carolina has gotten during this pandemic-impacted season. The Tar Heels haven't played since defeating Syracuse 31-6 on Sept. 12 because of one game getting canceled followed by a scheduled off week. In those two weeks, Boston College kicked off its season with an impressive win against Duke and then a comeback win against Texas State to improve to 2-0 under first-year coach Jeff Hafley. You might think the Eagles have an advantage here with two straight wins of momentum against the Tar Heels' rust, but I think two people established a unique advantage during that time off: offensive coordinator Phil Longo and quarterback Sam Howell. Longo has praised Howell's development in the mental side of the game, and during their time on the sidelines they got to see how Boston College's defense defended two different teams in two very different games. I expect the film sessions between a 20-point win against Duke and a 17-point comeback win against Texas State include plenty of information to use in the gameplan. I'm expecting Howell to have a great game and the Tar Heels can cover this two-score spread. Pick: North Carolina -13.5.
Virginia Tech (-10.5) at Duke: Big revenge game factor here for Justin Fuente and the Hokies, who looked awfully motivated already in its romp of the Wolfpack last Saturday. Down 23 players, including starting quarterback Hendon Hooker, and multiple coaches, including defensive coordinator Justin Hamilton, Virginia Tech jumped out to a 17-0 lead early and cruised to a 45-24 win. The offense was clicking behind a line that was getting a great push and rolled up 314 rushing yards at a 7.7 yards per attempt clip. They didn't turn the ball over and avoided special teams errors, looking sharp even when the third straight quarterback Quincy Patterson II had to come in for injured second-string quarterback Braxton Burmeister. The revenge factor comes from Duke's 45-10 win in Blacksburg last year, a late-September result that looked as puzzling as any in the ACC by the end of the season. Duke in 2020, so far, has shown a propensity to turn the ball over (seven turnovers in the loss to Virginia last week) and the inability to establish any consistency in the ground game. I'll admit a flaw in my study because of sample size, but right now, 1-0 Virginia Tech has 0-3 Duke needs. Pick: Virginia Tech -10.5.
Virginia at No. 1 Clemson (-28): These two programs haven't met in the regular season since 2013, but did face in each other in last year's ACC Championship Game. The combined score of those two games? Clemson 121, Virginia 27. That's why you see such a massive spread here as the Tigers return from an off week to face the Wahoos off a win in their season opener against Duke. Bronco Mendenhall's squad turned the Blue Devils over seven times in the 38-20 win, and new starting quarterback Brennan Armstrong had a solid performance as he takes over the offense that Bryce Perkins thrived in on the way to that Coastal Division title. Virginia's offensive line showed that it's taken some steps forward, but the change in competition is less of a step and more of a jump up to where Clemson's defensive line is at this point in the season. Armstrong will find it much tougher to run the offense with Bryan Bresee, Myles Murphy and the rest of that Tigers front making their home in the backfield, leaving me to believe Virginia won't be putting too many points on the board -- much like last year's ACC title game. Clemson gets to pick its number in this game, and I think it wins by 30. I don't hate tacking on an under play here either, but be wary of the Tigers getting to 42 on their own and the threat of a backdoor cover from Virginia. Pick: Clemson -28.
Last week: 3-3 | 2020 season: 10-9.
NCAA College Football Free Picks and Expert Predictions [2021]
Regular Season: 47 -47 -0 Bowls: 9 -4 -0.
Saturday 1/2 – Texas A&M -7 over North Carolina WIN.
Friday 1/1 – Ohio State vs Clemson Free Pick LOSS Friday 1/1 – Notre Dame vs Alabama Free Pick WIN.
Wednesday 12/30 – Oklahoma -3 over Florida WIN.
Tuesday 12/29 – Oklahoma State -2.5 over Miami FL WIN.
Friday 12/25 – Buffalo -5 over Marshall WIN.
Thursday 12/24 – Hawaii vs Houston Free Pick WIN.
Saturday 12/19 – Clemson vs Notre Dame Free Pick LOSS.
Friday 12/18 – Marshall -4.5 over UAB LOSS.
Thursday 12/10 – Florida Atlantic -8.5 over Southern Miss LOSS.
Sunday 12/6 – USC -11.5 over Washington State WIN.
Friday 12/4 – App State -2.5 over Louisiana LOSS.
Saturday 11/28 – Auburn vs Alabama Free Pick WIN Saturday 11/28 – Michigan -2 over Penn State LOSS.
Friday 11/27 – Iowa State vs Texas Free Pick WIN.
Thursday 11/26 – Air Force -5.5 over Colorado State PPD.
Saturday 11/21 – Indiana vs Ohio State Free Pick WIN Saturday 11/21 – Georgia -24.5 over Mississippi State LOSS.
Sunday 11/15 – Cal -3 over UCLA LOSS.
Saturday 11/14 – Utah -2.5 over UCLA PPD Saturday 11/14 – Notre Dame vs Boston College Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 11/12 – Boise State -14 over Colorado State WIN.
Saturday 11/7 – Michigan -3 over Indiana LOSS Saturday 11/7 – UCLA -6.5 over Colorado LOSS Saturday 11/7 – USC -10.5 over Arizona State LOSS.
Thursday 11/5 – Wyoming -3.5 over Colorado State LOSS.
Thursday 10/29 – Colorado State -2 over Fresno State LOSS.
Friday 10/16 – BYU vs Houston Free Pick WIN.
Thursday 10/15 – Arkansas State -3.5 over Georgia State WIN.
Friday 10/9 – Louisville -5 over Georgia Tech LOSS.
Friday 9/25 – TX-San Antonio -7 over Middle Tenn St LOSS.
Thursday 9/24 – UAB -7 over South Alabama WIN.
Saturday 9/5 – Army -3.5 over Middle Tenn State WIN.
2021 SEC football schedule: Dates, matchups.
The SEC plans to return to its traditional eight conference game schedule in 2021, which is contingent on national and local health guidelines allowing the games to be played.
Under this model, SEC teams play six games against division opponents and two against non-division opponents — one permanent annual opponent while the second rotates every year. This season is scheduled to have 13 playing weekends with conference games beginning as early as Week 2. Each program has one open date.
Three SEC teams kick off the 2021 college football season with neutral site games. Two will open the year at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta — Alabama plays Miami (Fla.) on Saturday, Sept. 4 while Ole Miss faces Louisville on Monday, Sept. 6. Georgia is scheduled to play Clemson in Charlotte on Sept. 4.
2021 SEC college football schedule: Team-by-team.
Alabama.
Sept. 4: vs. Miami (Fla.) (Atlanta, Georgia) Sept. 11: vs. Mercer Sept. 18: at Florida Sept. 25: vs. Southern Mississippi Oct. 2: vs. Mississippi Oct. 9: at Texas A&M Oct. 16: at Mississippi State Oct. 23: vs. Tennessee Nov. 6: vs. LSU Nov. 13: vs. New Mexico State Nov. 20: vs. Arkansas Nov. 27: at Auburn.
Arkansas.
Sept. 4: vs. Rice Sept. 11: vs. Texas Sept. 18: vs. Georgia Southern Sept. 25: vs. Texas A&M (Arlington, Texas) Oct. 2: at Georgia Oct. 9: at Mississippi Oct. 16: vs. Auburn Oct. 23: vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Nov. 6: vs. Mississippi State Nov. 13: at LSU Nov. 20: at Alabama Nov. 27: vs. Missouri (Little Rock, Arkansas)
Auburn.
Sept. 4: vs. Akron Sept. 11: vs. Alabama State Sept. 18: at Penn State Sept. 25: vs. Georgia State Oct. 2: at LSU Oct. 9: vs. Georgia Oct. 16: at Arkansas Oct. 30: vs. Mississippi Nov. 6: at Texas A&M Nov. 13: vs. Mississippi State Nov. 20: at South Carolina Nov. 27: vs. Alabama.
Florida.
Sept. 4: vs. FAU Sept. 11: at South Florida Sept. 18: vs. Alabama Sept. 25: vs. Tennessee Oct. 2: at Kentucky Oct. 9: vs. Vanderbilt Oct. 16: at LSU Oct. 30: vs. Georgia (Jacksonville, Florida) Nov. 6: at South Carolina Nov. 13: vs. Samford Nov. 20: at Missouri Nov. 27: vs. Florida State.
Georgia.
Sept. 4: vs. Clemson (Charlotte, North Carolina) Sept. 11: vs. UAB Sept. 18: vs. South Carolina Sept. 25: at Vanderbilt Oct. 2: vs. Arkansas Oct. 9: at Auburn Oct. 16: vs. Kentucky Oct. 30: vs. Florida (Jacksonville, Florida) Nov. 6: vs. Missouri Nov. 13: at Tennessee Nov. 20: vs. Charleston Southern Nov. 27: at Georgia Tech.
Kentucky.
Sept. 4: vs. Louisiana Monroe Sept. 11: vs. Missouri Sept. 18: vs. Chattanooga Sept. 25: at South Carolina Oct. 2: vs. Florida Oct. 9: vs. LSU Oct. 16: at Georgia Oct. 30: at Mississippi State Nov. 6: vs. Tennessee Nov. 13: at Vanderbilt Nov. 20: vs. New Mexico State Nov. 27: at Louisville.
LSU.
Sept. 4: at UCLA Sept. 11: vs. McNeese State Sept. 18: vs. Central Michigan Sept. 25: at Mississippi State Oct. 2: vs. Auburn Oct. 9: at Kentucky Oct. 16: vs. Florida Oct. 23: vs. Mississippi Nov. 6: at Alabama Nov. 13: vs. Arkansas Nov. 20: vs. Louisiana Monroe Nov. 27: vs. Texas A&M.
Mississippi.
Sept. 6: vs. Louisville (Atlanta, Georgia) Sept. 11: vs. Austin Peay Sept. 18: vs. Tulane Oct. 2: at Alabama Oct. 9: vs. Arkansas Oct. 16: at Tennessee Oct. 23: vs. LSU Oct. 30: at Auburn Nov. 6: vs. Liberty Nov. 13: vs. Texas A&M Nov. 20: vs. Vanderbilt Nov. 27: at Mississippi State.
Mississippi State.
Sept. 4: vs. Louisiana Tech Sept. 11: vs. NC State Sept. 18: at Memphis Sept. 25: vs. LSU Oct. 2: at Texas A&M Oct. 16: vs. Alabama Oct. 23: at Vanderbilt Oct. 30: vs. Kentucky Nov. 6: at Arkansas Nov. 13: at Auburn Nov. 20: vs. Tennessee State Nov. 27: vs. Mississippi.
Missouri.
Sept. 4: vs. Central Michigan Sept. 11: at Kentucky Sept. 18: vs. Southeast Missouri State Sept. 25: at Boston College Oct. 2: vs. Tennessee Oct. 9: vs. North Texas Oct. 16: vs. Texas A&M Oct. 30: at Vanderbilt Nov. 6: at Georgia Nov. 13: vs. South Carolina Nov. 20: vs. Florida Nov. 27: at Arkansas (Little Rock, Arkansas)
South Carolina.
Sept. 4: vs. Eastern Illinois Sept. 11: at East Carolina Sept. 18: at Georgia Sept. 25: vs. Kentucky Oct. 2: vs. Troy Oct. 9: at Tennessee Oct. 16: vs. Vanderbilt Oct. 23: at Texas A&M Nov. 6: vs. Florida Nov. 13: at Missouri Nov. 20: at Auburn Nov. 27: vs. Clemson.
Tennessee.
Sept. 4: vs. Bowling Green Sept. 11: vs. Pittsburgh Sept. 18: vs. Tennessee Tech Sept. 25: at Florida Oct. 2: at Missouri Oct. 9: vs. South Carolina Oct. 16: vs. Mississippi Oct. 23: at Alabama Nov. 6: at Kentucky Nov. 13: vs. Georgia Nov. 20: vs. South Alabama Nov. 27: vs. Vanderbilt.
Texas A&M.
Sept. 4: vs. Kent State Sept. 11: vs. Colorado (Denver, Colorado) Sept. 18: vs. New Mexico Sept. 25: vs. Arkansas (Arlington, Texas) Oct. 2: vs. Mississippi State Oct. 9: vs. Alabama Oct. 16: at Missouri Oct. 23: vs. South Carolina Nov. 6: vs. Auburn Nov. 13: at Mississippi Nov. 20: vs. Prairie View A&M Nov. 27: at LSU.
Vanderbilt.
Sept. 4: vs. East Tennessee State Sept. 11: at Colorado State Sept. 18: vs. Stanford Sept. 25: vs. Georgia Oct. 2: vs. UConn Oct. 9: at Florida Oct. 16: at South Carolina Oct. 23: vs. Mississippi State Oct. 30: vs. Missouri Nov. 13: vs. Kentucky Nov. 20: at Mississippi Nov. 27: at Tennessee.
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